L’historien et diplomate Joël DUPUY montre, dans une analyse, que le déclin relatif des États-Unis et l’essor de puissances émergentes comme la Chine et la Russie entraînent une fragmentation du pouvoir mondial. Pour Monsieur DUPUY, cette recomposition fragilise le leadership international et complexifie la sécurité et la stabilité sur plusieurs continents, rendant la coopération entre les États plus nécessaire que jamais.
En effet, selon le point de vue du diplomate, le monde post-guerre froide ne se limite plus à un leadership unique. Les États-Unis d’Amérique, autrefois incontestables, voient leur influence contestée par des acteurs régionaux et émergents. Cette recomposition s’accompagne de conflits régionaux, de rivalités économiques et de défis sécuritaires qui dépassent les cadres traditionnels.
Le Professeur d’universités cite en exemple le conflit en Ukraine, où l’affrontement entre puissances montre la fragilité de l’ordre international. Selon lui, ces situations laissent voir que la puissance ne suffit plus pour garantir la stabilité. Il précise que les relations entre États sont désormais marquées par la compétition et l’incertitude.
En conclusion, l’Académicien Joël DUPUY souligne que la scène mondiale est entrée dans une phase de transition. La sécurité et la gouvernance internationales dépendent, selon ses dires, de la capacité des nouvelles puissances à collaborer, pendant que l’ancien modèle hégémonique des États-Unis ne peut plus à lui seul structurer le monde.
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